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Austrian Grand Prix: July 08

By Michael Spiegel

Formula 1 saw its 112th unique race winner this past weekend at the British Grand Prix as Carlos Sainz registered his first win. This weekend presents a very different race to Silverstone. The Austrian Grand Prix, the home race for Red Bull, has recently been quite favourable to Max Verstappen. Verstappen has won 3 of the last 4 races at the Red Bull Ring, and he seems to consistently excel here. As long as Verstappen doesn’t have any car troubles, he is the clear favourite to win this weekend.

Last year’s Austrian Grand Prix saw Verstappen win from pole and get the fastest lap. It was pure domination for Verstappen from the moment the lights went out last year, and he has an opportunity to become the winningest driver at the Austrian Grand Prix with a win this weekend. I’m not putting my money against him this weekend, because unless some unforeseen crash or car trouble arises, he’s going to get his fourth victory. It would be no surprise to see him repeat what he did last year and win from pole again.

It appears as though Mercedes have figured out their early-season troubles. Lewis Hamilton has achieved back-to-back third-place finishes and has been quite happy with his car as of late. Unfortunately for George Russell, Mr. Consistency got into an opening lap crash at Silverstone which broke his streak of finishing in the top 5 in every single race this season. Mercedes has been gaining on Ferrari over the past few weekends and have gotten themselves back into the constructors title fight.

My Picks:

Guanyu Zhou – First Driver to Retire +900 (bet365): Four retirements over his last six races, Zhou has been struggling as of late. Some decent value here if his struggles do continue this weekend.

Lando Norris – Podium Finish +1100 (bet365): Lando has back-to-back third place finishes here, and I look for him to have another strong outing this weekend. Some encouraging signs after a strong race at Silverstone which was good enough for P6 last weekend. He already has a podium earlier this year, and at +1100, that’s some pretty good value considering his history here.

Fernando Alonso – Race Winner +15000 (bet365): This is obviously a long shot, but just in case something crazy happens this weekend, Alonso is an extremely consistent driver. If the frontrunners retire for whatever reason, Alonso has put in five straight points finishes and a fifth-place finish last weekend. The soon-to-be 41-year-old still has a ton of pace, and anything can happen.

Max Verstappen – Fastest Lap and Race Winner +150 (bet365): Assuming that nothing happens to Max’s car, he is the clear winner this weekend. He has consistently had the best pace this season, and when at the Red Bull Ring he finds another gear. He is favoured as a -120 to win the race outright, but I think if he wins, he’ll also get the fastest lap so might as well make a little more money with the +150 odds.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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