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Genesis Scottish Open Preview: July 06

By Michael Spiegel

Jon Rahm comes into the Scottish Open as the tournament favourite, currently sitting at +1200 to win outright via BetMGM. It’s not a huge surprise to see Rahm as the betting favourite coming into this weekend. Aside from being first in strokes gained off the tee this season, and playing reasonably decent golf as of late, I won't be putting any money on him. Rahm came into last year’s Scottish Open as an even heavier favourite than this year’s and he ended up finishing in seventh. Since the Scottish Open began taking place at the Renaissance Club back in 2019, the winner has not even cracked the top 10 in terms of betting odds. I’m looking for that trend to continue this weekend with my pick.

My Picks:

Scottish Open Tournament Winning Margin - Won in Playoff +350 (bet365): The Scottish Open began taking place at the Renaissance Club in 2019, and in the three tournaments since then, each of them has been decided via a playoff. I’m expecting that to continue this weekend, and given the historical numbers at this course, I would think that the odds would be slightly lower than where they are now.

Corey Conners – Top 20 Finish +200 (BetRivers): When Conners makes it to the weekend he has been terrific. While he has missed the cut in 2 of his last 4 outings, he has finished in the top 20 in 4 of the 5 most recent tournaments that he has made it through to the weekend. As long as Conners can play well enough to make it through to play on Saturday, I think he shouldn’t have a problem finishing in the top 20.

Hideki Matsuyama – Top 10 Finish +335 (BetRivers): Matsuyama hasn’t missed the cut in any tournament that he has partaken in this season. He has six top 10 finishes in fourteen tournaments, and I’m looking for him to carry on his momentum from his fourth-place finish at the U.S. Open just a few weeks ago.

Will Zalatoris – Top 5 Finish +550 (BetMGM):

Zalatoris has been playing some exceptional golf as of late. Despite missing the cut in two of his last five tournaments, he also has two second-place finishes in his previous five. Excluding his two missed cuts over his last eight tournaments, the worst that he has placed is tied for sixth at the Masters. As long as Zalatoris can play well enough to make it to the weekend, he seems poised to have another top 5 finish.

Collin Morikawa – Tournament Winner +3000 (BetRivers): Morikawa has missed the cut twice this season, and in the twelve tournaments that he has made it through, he has seven top 10 finishes, including two-second place finishes. After a fantastic performance at the U.S. Open, that was good enough to score him tied for fifth, I’m expecting big things for him this weekend.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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