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Golf Picks: July 13 - The Open Championship

St Andrews Golf Club - St. Andrews, Scotland July 14-16, 2022

By Marc Tersigni

And just like that, the final major of the season is upon us. This week we return home to the birthplace of golf, St Andrews. It's always special when the world’s best partake in this historic tournament, but when it's being played at St Andrews for the 150th edition of The Open, it is truly special. I can tell you my alarm clock is already set for 2 AM come Thursday morning. Last week the star-studded field gathered for the Genesis Scottish Open, and boy were there some surprises. Missed cuts by the likes of Scheffler, Morikawa, JT, Hovland, Matsuyama and Zalatoris prove that golf is different in the UK. You better be able to handle the wind, or you will be sent packing. If last week was any indication of the type of surprises that may be in store for us at The Open, buckle up.

So what's the biggest storyline this week? The LIV golfers are back in the field, Xander has won his last two starts, Rory is the clear favourite, and oh yeah, Tiger is back! If Tiger came back and miraculously won this event, it would be one of the greatest moments in sports. Never count Tiger out, but that might just be a pipe dream for golf fans everywhere.

The Course

The history surrounding the Old Course is remarkable, and it is evident from your very first glimpse of this 18 hole masterpiece. 7,297 yards of shared fairways and greens, bunkers the size of mountains, and strategic knobs throughout. This course will test the best golfers on a good day; if the wind happens to show up, good luck and God bless. This course has inspired golf architects throughout the world, and has left an imprint on the vision and design of nearly every golf course ever built. My words cannot do these sacred grounds justice, I would highly recommend this Golf Digest video review.

The Favourites:

The top 3 favourites this week include:

  1. Rory Mcilroy - Best price: +1100 at Betway
  2. Jordan Spieth - Best price: +1800 at BetMGM
  3. Jon Rahm - Best price: +2000 at bet365

If you love to bet tournament winners like I do, I highly suggest price shopping these lines. We see a great variation from sportsbook to sportsbook. For a complete list of the best prices available checkout our betstamp futures comparison chart here. You do not want to be leaving any money on the table. If your guy hits, make sure you get top dollar for it.

My Pick

I chose this man to win the Genesis Scottish Open last week, he had a solid tournament as he finished T-10. His game is built for the challenge that The Open provides. Jordan Spieth is a wizard around the greens, and I’m betting he has some magic left in his bag.

As I outlined in last week's picks, Jordan’s strokes gained stats are nothing to brag about. But that's part of the beauty about golf, it only takes one weekend to change the outlook for any golfer. 

At St Andrews you have two options, you can either try to overpower the course with a driver, or you can pull out iron and strategically play the course with an emphasis on setting up your second shot from advantageous angles. There is no golfer/caddy I enjoy listening to more than Jordan and Michael Greller. Every shot is planned out, and all factors are calculated to a tee.

Spieth won The Open back in 2017 at Royal Birkdale; it seems like such a long time ago, but it has only been five years. In the early parts of his career it was as if Jordan’s putter was an extension of his arm. It was simply unrealistic to expect him to putt like that year in and year out. The truth is he is so good around the greens that his wedge play should relieve some of the stress that Jordan seems to build up with the putter. If the putter does heat up, I think Jordan will exude the confidence we witnessed when he was the #1 golfer in the world. This week, I am betting on Jordan's wedge game.

Pick: Jordan Spieth to win The Open +1800 at BetMGM

Tournament Matchups:

Cantlay vs Morikawa - I believe while Cantlay is on the rise, Morikawa  is on the decline. Despite being the defending champion, I am not expecting all that much out of Morikawa. He had a horrible performance last week at the Scottish Open where he failed to make the cut. I'm not sure that will happen again this week, But I'll take Cantlay and his current form over Morikawa any day. This price is too good to pass up.

Pick: Cantlay over Morikawa -110 at Betway

Fleetwood vs Hatton - I took Fleetwood vs Hatton last week (winner), and I am going right back to the well. Hatton has had a horrible season, despite a relatively decent effort last week. Fleetwood also hasn't impressed as I thought he would for most of the year, but I like him in this spot.

Pick: Fleetwood over Hatton -120 at Betway

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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