GOLF FREE PICKS

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LIV Golf Bedminster Preview: July 29

By Michael Spiegel

LIV Golf heads to the Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, New Jersey, this weekend. Dustin Johnson comes into the weekend as the undisputed favourite, currently sitting at +550 via Sports Interaction. Looking at the odds right now, there’s a lot of good value going around for some extremely talented players to finish at the top of the leaderboard. While it’s not too much of a shock to see Johnson as the tournament favourite; I am surprised to see some of these other stars with such terrific value.

A fun little addition to LIV Golf is the team aspect. Rather than just betting on a single golfer to win a tournament, you can bet on a team to have the lowest combined score. While I like this aspect as it adds something new and fun to golf, I prefer betting on individual players because a team is only as good as its weakest link.

A few newcomers to LIV will make their debut this weekend. Some of the notable ones are Paul Casey, Charles Howell III, and Henrik Stenson; all of whom will bring new fans to the tour that is trying to change the game. I have a good feeling about these newcomers in their LIV debut as shown in my picks for this weekend.

My Picks:

Matthew Wolff – Tournament Winner +3500 (DraftKings): I’m taking the youngster as my longshot to win this weekend. Other sportsbooks have him valued under +3000 but DraftKings has some great value on him here at +3500. Obviously, a long shot based on these odds, but could be worth the risk.

Brooks Koepka – Tournament Winner +2000 (BetRivers): While Brooks has struggled this year on the PGA Tour, I have a strong feeling about him having a great outing this weekend. At +2000, and with most other sportsbooks valuing him at around +1600, that’s a fairly good return for the former #1 ranked golfer in the world.

Henrik Stenson – Top 10 Finish +333 (bet365): I have a good feeling about the Swedish major winner who will be looking to prove himself this weekend. I think there’s fair value with Stenson at over +300 to finish in the top 10 this weekend. Considering it's only 48 players, playing a combined 54 holes, I think Stenson will do well.

Charles Howell III – Top 5 Finish +500 (bet365): Howell has declined from when he was younger and was featured as one of the top 15 golfers in the world. Making his LIV debut, I think he’ll try to bring back some of his former glory and put on a show this weekend. At +500 I think that it’s a pretty good bet to see him in the top 5.

Paul Casey – Top 3 Finish +700 (bet365): Paul Casey is another player whose game is not quite the same as it was ten years ago. However, Casey finished in the top 3 at the Players Championship this year, showing that he’s far from being washed up. Facing perhaps less competition than on the PGA Tour, I think he’ll place in the top 3 this weekend. At +700, that’s a fairly good return.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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