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RBC Canadian Open

By Michael Harty

Canada, we’re back on the PGA Map. After a 3 year hiatus, the PGA finally makes its return north of the border. St. George’s Golf and Country Club, located in Toronto, Ontario will play host for the first time since 2010. St. George’s is a par 70 and measures 7014 yards in length. The greens here, like the past few events, are Bentgrass. Given all that’s gone on in the past week with the LIV tour, it will be nice to finally sit back and watch the pros do what they do. St. George’s layout has 5 par 3’s and 3 par 5’s, making this course an approach players’ paradise. 4 out of the 5 par 3’s are between 200 and 225 yards in length, making approach play a premium this weekend. Let’s dig into the 156 player field to see who we can place a wager on this weekend.

The Top of the board should come as no surprise, headlined by Scottie Scheffler coming off his Master’s win and runner-up performance a few weeks back at Colonial. The Number 1 ranked player in the world has looked the part in every event he’s played this season. He leads the entire field in total strokes gained on approach through the past 24 rounds. Next up we have a former winner in this event in Rory Mcllroy. Mcllroy, who leads the field in strokes gained off the tee has had spurts of brilliance but has not been able to piece it all together for an entire weekend. Although Rory’s length off the tee may not be as valuable at a shorter course such as St. George’s, his putter has been incredibly hot as of late. Our betting card will start with a wager on Rory Mcllroy to win another RBC Canadian Open at +1000 over at BetMGM (1 Unit).

Scrolling down a little further another European who catches my eye is Matthew Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick is coming off a missed cut this past weekend after gaining over 6 full strokes on approach and off the tee. One of the strengths of his game is his accuracy with his irons. If he can manage to knock down a couple of putts, and not lose 7 strokes to the field, he should be able to have a chance to contend this weekend. After a missed cut we may be getting people who are a bit gun shy to fire on this Euro who hasn’t won yet in North America, I won’t be one of those people and will be adding Fitzpatrick at +1800 over at BetMGM (1 Unit) as well as Top 20 -125 at BetMGM (1 Unit).

It would be very unpatriotic of me to not mention our fellow countrymen who will be playing in this tournament. Corey Conners (who is 20/1 at most shops), Adam Hadwin (35/1) and Mackenzie Hughes (70/1) are all going to have a ton of pressure surrounding them this weekend. Most of these players may not be accustomed to having such a large following as they play. This course is a great fit for all 3 of these guys who strike the golf ball very well and very accurately. While putting is the most volatile stat to track, I’m going to back the one Canadian who’s track record on Bentgrass has been the steadiest over the past 24 rounds, and that is Mackenzie Hughes. Our final bet of the card will be Mackenzie Hughes Top 20 at +225 for 0.5 Units (BetMGM).

BETTING CARD:

-Rory Mcllroy (+1000) - 1 Unit

-Matthew Fitzpatrick (+1800) - 1 Unit

-Matthew Fitzpatrick T20 (-125) - 1 Unit

-Mackenzie Hughes T20 (+225) - 0.5 Unit

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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