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US Open Preview

By Michael Harty

We head down to Boston, where amid the Celtics’ NBA final run Golf’s 3rd major of the year will take place. Being a Major, this week will have no shortage of coverage and plenty to discuss amid the recently completed first-ever LIV event. The Country Club at Brookline will host the US Open for the first time since 1988 and features a star-studded 156-man field. Despite recent talks, no players who chose to leave the PGA Tour have been banned from playing in this event, as the USPGA is deemed an “Open Championship” as the name states. Many eyes will be on Phil Mickelson, Dustin Johnson and Bryson DeChambeau to see how the new LIV stars fare against the PGA’s best. 

Much like last weekend, we don’t have a ton of course history to rely on as no events have been played here in over 20 years. Instead, we will have to rely on characteristics and similarities. All USPGA courses have very similar tendencies and require golfers to bring their entire toolbox to the table if they hope to compete on Sunday. While length is important off the tee, accuracy is a premium this weekend. Given the thick roughs and small greens, making sure players’ tee shots hit the fairway is paramount. The Country Club has 8 holes that will play over 450 yards, with three being 500 plus. 

Coming off of his RBC win last weekend (shoutout to those of us who chose him) Rory Mcllroy is now the new odds-on favourite to win this weekend. Rory had a tremendous weekend which included a career-best on the front nine on Sunday en route to closing out the tournament for his 21st PGA championship. With this week being such a loaded field, I don’t personally see any value in taking any of these top guys (Mcllroy, Thomas, Rahm). Scottie Scheffler, the number 1 player in the world has now dropped to 4th on the odds board and if he continues to drop, his number is certainly appealing as he has been playing great golf all season long.

Going a little further down the board is where I will start my card. I will start with a golfer who has the pedigree, having already won 2 major championships in his young career. Colin Morikawa at +3000 over at BetFred, hasn’t been playing the best golf coming into the tournament, thus giving us a bit of a discount in price. Morikawa, who is widely regarded as one of the best iron players on tour, will need his approach game to be in full effect this weekend. Given the tight fairways, his accuracy off the tee and approach around the green will pay off huge. His big knock has been his putting as of late, which is a highly volatile stat. Given he’s a guy who’s been there before, he won’t back down on Sunday if in contention and I love getting this price on one of the bright young stars on tour.

Another guy I will be looking to back will be the other up-and-comer who is a little further down the odds board, Cam Young. He is a name a lot of PGA fans around the world should get familiar with. One of the more accurate players off the tee, Young will be able to put himself in great second-shot opportunities this weekend. Not only is he accurate, but he is also very long off the tee which will pay dividends on the lengthy holes. Young has been in contention in recent weeks coming in with some decent form, and while I don’t love his outright price at 40/1 I will be playing Top 20 at +190 over at Bet Victor.

My Betting Card:

-Colin Morikowa +3000 at BetFred (1 unit)

-Cam Young T20 +190 at BetVictor (1 unit)

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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