MLB FREE PICKS
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MLB Picks: August 13
Tonight, the bottom feeders of the NL West will square off for game 2 of their second series against one another in as many weeks. The Diamondbacks bested the Rockies in Arizona last week, splitting the first two games of the series but capturing the third and deciding matchup. In game 2 of this series, I think the Diamondbacks have an unfair advantage on the mound, one that the oddsmakers seem to have misjudged.
Taking the mound for the Diamondbacks tonight is Zac Gallen; who is having a dominant year for a struggling team. This season he’s posted an ERA just over 3.10 and a WHIP just over 1. Over Gallen’s last 7 starts, he is 3-0 with an ERA of 2.76 and a WHIP under 1. Gallen has a strong track record against the Rockies throughout his career going 3-1 with an ERA under 3 through 10 appearances against them. Gallen has already pitched against the Rockies 3 times this season alone, he is 1-0 with an ERA of 3.5 and tallied 18 strikeouts over those starts. I think he’ll continue to build on his success over the past month and be dominant on the mound tonight against a struggling Rockies team.
On the mound for Colorado is José Ureña. Over 7 starts this season Ureña has an ERA near 5 and a WHIP over 1.6. His most recent outing was against these Diamondbacks where he went 6 innings giving up 7 hits and 3 earned runs in the process. Throughout his career, Ureña has an ERA over 6 against the Diamondbacks proving that he has a hard time when facing Arizona. None of his numbers indicate that tonight will be any different and I expect him to continue to struggle on the mound in this game.
DraftKings is offering the Diamondbacks at -130 tonight which I think is a steal when factoring who’s pitching. Ureña is making just his 8th start this season and has not looked very sharp in any of his outings this year. As for Gallen, his track record against the Rockies and his ERA of 2.13 through August gives me great confidence in the Diamondbacks to win tonight. I think they should be favoured closer to -175, and getting them at anything better than -150 is a great opportunity.
Other notable bets:
Yankees/Red Sox: Over 9.5 +105 (Caesars): Arguably one of the greatest rivalries in professional sports, how can you not root for plenty of runs? With two pitchers who haven’t been putting up incredible numbers this season, and two teams that love to try to run the other one out of the park, I’m expecting lots of scoring today. Even with the over being set at 9.5, I think these two teams have the firepower to cover.
Twins @ Angels: Twins ML -112 (Proline+): The Twins have been struggling over their past few games so that’s why they’re only marginal favourites to beat the Angels tonight, but I think this could be a great opportunity. With the disappointment the Angels have been this year, I would think that the Twins would be closer to -150 favourites tonight. Them being favoured at just -112 is very eye opening and definitely something to consider adding to your betslip tonight.
One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.
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