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MLB Picks: Aug 18

By Mitchell Blair

We have afternoon baseball and a lot of it today.  What a great time to take the afternoon off as the pennant races heat up.  One of the games this afternoon sees the Colorado Rockies finish off a series in St. Louis against the Cardinals.  It is safe to say when you look at the numbers that the Cardinals own Colorado when the two teams meet at Busch Stadium. For instance, St. Louis has won its 11 home games against the Rockies and since the Cardinals moved to their new home in 2006, they are 42-13.  If you want to go on, the ageless Adam Wainwright is 11-1 in his career against Colorado with an ERA of 1.48 

The only thing here that looks good for the Rockies is they have won their last four Thursday games, but that really doesn’t sway my vote. I see that streak coming to an end. 

PICK: St. Louis -1.5 (-105) at Bet99 

It isn’t often the LA Dodgers are the underdog this year, but that is the case this afternoon as baseball’s best team finishes a four game series in Milwaukee.  The Dodgers hold the highest on-base percentage in the Majors and score the second most runs per game, but they don’t face Corbin Burnes every day. The Milwaukee right-hander is one of the more dominant pitchers in the National League and I expect him to keep the Dodger bats under control.  

PICK: Milwaukee ML (-101) on Coolbet 

If both teams weren’t having such a rotten August, the Blue Jays-Yankees series would be a lot more salacious than it is.  Both teams come into this four-game series knowing they are a lot better than the numbers would show over the past couple of weeks. While Yusei Kikuchi has been a huge disappointment for Toronto this season, Jose Berrios has to be right up there as well. He doesn’t pitch well at Yankee Stadium. He is 1-3 with a 6.66 ERA, a 1.603 WHIP, 12 walks and 28 strikeouts over 24.1 innings in five career starts in New York. To make matters worse, he is  1-1 with an 8.59 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, five walks and eight strikeouts over 14.2 innings of work in his last three starts. Oh yeah, he has also given up a major league leading 26 homers.  Those numbers don’t bring me any confidence whatsoever. If the Yankees can’t score runs against Berrios, then the problems they are having will only be magnified.  Toronto may have gotten out of its offensive funk by scoring some runs against Baltimore Wednesday, but they will have to score a bunch to stay in this one.  

PICK: New York Yankees ML at -140 on Bet365

Enjoy the games! 

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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