MLB FREE PICKS
At betstamp, transparency is very important to us. With each MLB free pick article on this website, the author will have a link to their betstamp profile page, so that you can see their full betting history before you decide whether or not you want to tail their plays.
Picks of the Day for MLB: August 19
Alright, so lesson learned. Never bet on the Yankees.
I will take the blame for this one, after all that’s something that was ingrained in my DNA and I went against it to give them the benefit of the doubt. Last time that ever happens.
So what are we going to do today then?
We’re going to bet on a team that I never ever saw myself taking to win. But here’s the thing about the Baltimore Orioles right now; they’re actually a solid baseball team.
The O’s are 5-5 over their last 10 games with a batting average of .249 and combined ERA of 4.40. Now these aren’t by any means some stellar numbers to boast about, but the fact remains that this was supposed to be a team that was once again going to hold a death-grip on that bottom spot of the AL East, yet here they are sitting fourth in the East at 61-57 just 2.5 games out of a wildcard playoff spot. All of this may I remind you, has been done without the bat of Trey Mancini who got shipped to the Astros at the deadline. It’s very safe to say this team has overperformed immensely this season thus far.
They’re playing against a Boston Red Sox team that at times, has looked somewhat competitive this season. But there have also been times where it looks as though they fielded a little league team disguised as adults i.e., 28-5.
The pitching matchup is one that interests me quite a lot. Jordan Lyles is having himself a relatively impressive year despite some inflated numbers. He currently boasts a 9-9 record with a 4.48 ERA and WHIP of 1.45. He’s going up against a younger and less experienced Kutter Crawford who shares very similar numbers to the Orioles’ righty. Crawford posts a 4.18 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP. Now it’s important to keep in mind Crawford has less than half the number of innings pitched than Lyles does.
Baltimore is hosting the series with a record of 33-22 at their very oddly renovated Camden Yards and they have had some solid performers for them. At face value a guy like Cedric Mullens has been brilliant with 49 RBIs hitting .263. The player I’m focused on though, is rookie catcher Adley Rutschman. The new full-time big leaguer has adapted exceptionally well to the show holding a wRC+ of 128 – very strong for a rookie. His presence behind the plate has also not gone unnoticed.
I think the Orioles are playing some strong fundamental baseball right now and are mentally, in a very good spot. I don’t see this Red Sox team giving them any trouble.
One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.
To learn more about wagering on the MLB...
Tips and strategies to become a more successful MLB bettor.
The easiest way to go bust is to mismanage your bankroll. Avoid the pitfalls by learning about bankroll management strategies.
Prop bets are now one of the most common bet types amongst MLB bettors. Find out why they are so popular and how to bet them.
Have you ever wondered why lines move? It's not as simple as you would think. Knowledge of how betting markets work can help you become a more successful bettor.
It's the single easiest way to gain an edge in the MLB. Find out more about how to become price sensitive and shop for the best lines.
You've heard it before: Fade the public. The thing is... this is actually not a winning long-term strategy. Find out why.