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MLB Picks: July 04

By Stefan Luciani

Well it is the fourth of July, and although for us Canadians it’s still a Monday morning where we have to get up and go to work, or in my case, write a daily picks posting at 5:44AM, to our American friends to the south, it’s an exciting day with lots of baseball on tap. Despite a lot of the games scheduled for today, some of the lines aren’t the most appealing, but like I’ve said before, there are always some winners to be found.

The first game that catches my attention is the first of a three game set that sees the Minnesota Twins visit Chicago to play the White Sox. The Twins currently sit atop the AL Central with a record of 45-37, with the 38-39 White Sox now in third behind a surging Cleveland Guardians team (yeah, who saw that coming?).

The White Sox are going with Johnny Cueto on the bump who, despite his age, he has been pretty solid for them posting a 3.33 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP. He has given up 15 runs over his last six starts which isn’t great, but it’s not terrible either. The Twins on the other hand are coming back with Dylan Bundy who has given up 15 runs over his last five starts with an ERA of 4.62 across the month of June. So it’s not exactly a Cy Young battle here, which means we’re going to be seeing some offense tonight.

The over/under is already set relatively high to compensate for this fact as it currently is posted at 9.5. For +100 (theScoreBet) I absolutely love it. Although, over their last 10 games, the White Sox and Twins have been hitting .244 and .263 respectively which doesn’t pop out at you right away, but we know these teams are capable of producing some hits. Over that stretch, Luis Robert has picked up two doubles, a home run and four RBI with Jose Abreu still leading the team with 28 extra base hits, 19 of which are long balls.

Carlos Correa hasn’t exactly stood out offensively over the last 10 games, but remains consistently solid batting .241 with two bombs and six RBI.

I want some offense folks. Give me a shootout that goes into the 11th for all I care, make it happen!

Pick: White Sox vs Twins O9.5 (+100) at theScoreBet

Other Notable Picks:

Alek Manoah O6.5 Strikeouts @ +114 (FanDuel): So this one is kind of a no brainer to me. Sure, Manoah has been getting hit a bit more than what we’re used to seeing from him, but that’s about as expected as can be. This is a guy who in just his second year, has become one of baseball’s marquee starters, and with all that attention is going to come some extra hours with regards to opposing hitters studying his game film. That being said, he did not give up more than six hits or four runs in a single start throughout the month of June, so I think he’s still doing just fine. One thing that stayed relatively consistent throughout for him was his ability to pick up a strikeout. In case you didn’t know, Manoah has some pretty good swing-and-miss stuff. Over 6.5 strikeouts is a lock for me. Book it.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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