MLB FREE PICKS

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MLB Picks: July 17

By Michael Spiegel

The Mariners are in Texas this afternoon riding a thirteen-game win streak. The Mariners are the hottest team in baseball and have a great shot at extending this win streak even further this afternoon. After taking the first three games of this four-game set, the Mariners are looking for their fourth straight series sweep. Thirteen wins in a row is impressive enough, but the Mariners also have eight straight series wins and have won 21 of their last 24 games.

Chris Flexen will be on the mound for the Mariners today and despite his lacklustre numbers this season, he has pitched fairly well recently, going at least 6 innings in each of his last 3 starts. Flexen has been stellar against the Rangers throughout his career, and last season in 4 starts against the Rangers he went 3-0. He had a combined ERA of just over 2 throughout those starts and limited the Rangers OPS to under .600. He steps his game up when facing this Texas team and I don’t think that will change today.

On the mound for the Rangers is Glenn Otto. The former fifth-round pick of the Yankees in 2017 has not pitched well this year. He carries an ERA of 5.50 and a WHIP of 1.51 through 12 starts, and he has only managed to pitch 6 or more innings twice this season. His last outing was no different, giving up 4 runs to the struggling Oakland A’s over 4.1 innings. Otto has only pitched against the Mariners once in his career and it came earlier this season. He gave up 2 hits, 2 runs, and walked 5 over 5 innings. While he was able to pick up the win in that game, that came over a month ago and the Mariners are a much different team today than they were then. The Mariners bats should be able to take advantage of the struggling Otto and carry this unbelievable run into their next series, against the Houston Astros.

I am shocked by the odds for this matchup today. The Mariners are favoured at -130 to win today, something that I thought would be closer to -200, given their recent success. This should absolutely be a bet to consider for today, and if you’re feeling extra confident in the Mariners to extend their winning streak, you can get them at +125 (Sports Interaction) to cover the spread over the Rangers.

Pick: Mariners @ Rangers: Mariners ML -130 (BetRivers)

Other notable bets:

Diamondbacks @ Padres: Diamondbacks ML +140 (bet365): Merrill Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks this afternoon and he has pitched very well against the Padres throughout his career. He carries a 7-2 record with an ERA under 2.5 into today’s game. Kelly has been a bright spot in the Diamondbacks organization this season and has pitched at least 6 innings in each of his last seven starts. Some good value to be made with a Diamondbacks pick.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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