MLB FREE PICKS

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Picks of the Day for MLB: July 21

By Stefan Luciani 

Welcome back folks. After a short, but probably needed (for everyone) all-star break, it’s crazy to think we’re officially getting underway with the second half of the MLB season already.It genuinely feels like yesterday that you guys were disregarding my picks for the month of May, and yet here we still are playing the same song as we draw closer to the month of August, time flies when you’re having fun, right?

First game picks of the day since the break, must be something special right? Wrong. There is a very small slate of games today, so we must be smart about what we’re moving forward with, and the first game that grabs my attention is the Rangers and Marlins in Miami. So, without further adieu, let’s dive right into it.

Without wasting any time, I’m riding for the Rangers in this one tonight. The moneyline is sitting at a respectable +105 (BetRivers), in a game that I think has the potential to showcase a little bit of a pitcher’s duel.

Jon Gray is on the mound for the Rangers today and he has been a solid rotation guy for them throughout the season. Boasting a record of 6-4 with an ERA of 3.71 through his 89 2/3 innings pitched. But over his last seven starts, Gray has been absolutely electric, with a record of 6-1, boasting a 2.06 ERA and WHIP of 0.94 through 43 2/3 innings of action.

Now Miami has a bit of a weapon of their own going to the bump today as Pablo Lopez gets the nod for them after what has been a solid season for himself. The Venezuelan also posts a record of 6-4 with a favourable 2.86 ERA through 104 innings of action. But unlike Gray, Lopez has struggled relative to his early days this season over his last seven starts going 2-2 with a 4.03 ERA allowing 17 runs through 38 innings pitched.

So aside from Gray, the Texas Rangers also have a far higher rated offense with regards to runs per game. The Rangers are averaging 4.5 (T11th) to the Marlins 4.1 (T23rd). Now despite the closer margins, Sanchez has shown that he doesn’t seem to get rattled too much early on as the righty has yet to be pulled in a game this year prior to the fifth innings. But this may just be his biggest downfall as even in games he’s struggling, he’s able to keep composed and last longer which actually has potential to hurt the team.

I think this is an easy choice. With Gray on the mound, I’m expecting him to shut down this Marlins offense and I am betting on a subpar performance from Lopez to start the second half.

Pick: Rangers ML @ +105 (BetRivers) vs Marlins

 

Other Notable Picks:

Rangers vs Marlins U7 (FanDuel): Yes, I’m feeling a little wild this Thursday morning. But I stand by what I said. Logically, if we get a bit of a pitcher's duel with the Rangers getting the better of Lopez in this end, this should be a low scoring game. Book it.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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