At betstamp, transparency is very important to us. With each MLB free pick article on this website, the author will have a link to their betstamp profile page, so that you can see their full betting history before you decide whether or not you want to tail their plays.

MLB Picks: June 4

By Michael Spiegel

The Padres visit the Brewers this afternoon after a commanding 7-0 win last night to even up this 4-game set at two games a piece. Today, Mackenzie Gore starts for the Padres and Aaron Ashby will take the mound for the Brewers.

Both lefties have very respectable numbers this season. Gore is showing why he was a 3rd overall pick in the 2017 draft, currently amounting a sub 2 ERA and a WHIP just over 1 through 8 appearances this season. Ashby also has fairly respectable numbers, with an ERA under 3 and a WHIP of 1.33 in 11 appearances. While Gore has the better numbers, Ashby has shown to be a formidable force on the mound this year.

The real deal breaker between these two teams is the bats. Overall, the Brewers have better offensive numbers than the Padres, however the numbers differ when facing left-handed pitching, like they will today. The Brewers have a .712 OPS this season, however that number significantly drops off to a .656 when facing lefties. On the other hand, the Padres are a completely different story, who have a .741 OPS against lefties, while they have a .672 when righties are factored in. As the numbers dictate, it appears that the Padres have much more success when facing lefties, whereas the Brewers seem to struggle. This should give them a significant advantage in today’s matchup.

Ashby faced the Padres a few weeks ago, going 5 and two-thirds, giving up four hits and walking three batters in the process. He would go on to get a no decision in that contest. While Gore hasn’t faced the Brewers yet, his last start shows that he is continuing to role this season, going 7 innings, and only giving up two hits. Gore is carrying a 3-1 record this season in 7 starts, whereas Ashby has a 1-3 record in 5 starts. Both teams share an identical 3.41 ERA from pitching so far this season. This should be a fairly even contest, however I’m giving the edge to the Padres, despite the oddsmakers doing the opposite.

I’m a little bit surprised to see the Padres as the underdogs in today’s matchup, and I still would have picked them even if they were the favourites, because I think they should be. This pick has the potential to be one of the best on the day.

Pick: Padres ML +110 (PowerPlay)

Other notable bets:

Red Sox/Athletics under 7.5 -115 (Betway): The A’s have Paul Blackburn on the mound for them today and he’s been an absolute stud for them so far this year. With his limited earned runs and the A’s inability to produce runs, this should be a low scoring contest.

Twins @ Blue Jays: Blue Jays -1.5 +123 (LeoVegas): Jose Berrios goes up against his former club today and he will do his best to make them regret trading him. The Blue Jays were defeated last night by these Twins, snapping their 8-game winning streak, and they’ll be looking for revenge.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

To learn more about wagering on the MLB...

Tips and strategies to become a more successful MLB bettor.

The easiest way to go bust is to mismanage your bankroll. Avoid the pitfalls by learning about bankroll management strategies.

Prop bets are now one of the most common bet types amongst MLB bettors. Find out why they are so popular and how to bet them.

Have you ever wondered why lines move? It's not as simple as you would think. Knowledge of how betting markets work can help you become a more successful bettor.

It's the single easiest way to gain an edge in the MLB. Find out more about to become price sensitive and shop for the best lines.

You've heard it before: Fade the public. The thing is... this is actually not a winning long-term strategy. Find out why.