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MLB Picks: May 18

Written by Cartichoke

Happy Wednesday to you all, and I am not going to beat around the bush one bit.

I am 0-2 in my baseball bet articles, all I can say is…well baseball is a complete circus show okay? You just literally have no idea what will happen, but I’m going to save all that energy for another time, let's just move on to today. But I will say this, I AM DUE FOR A WIN. Okay let's get started.

We have the New York Yankees (27-9) taking on division rival, the Baltimore Orioles (14-23).

1st place in the AL East vs 5th place in the AL East.

Pitchers for today's game, first for the Yankees is k̶e̶r̶m̶i̶t̶ Gerrit Cole. Cole this year is having a pretty decent start, 3-0 on the season, 2.95 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and striking out 46 batters in 36.2 innings.

On the Baltimore mound is Jordan Lyles, he comes into this game with a 2-3 record, 4.38 ERA, 1.51 WHIP (yikes) while striking out 32 batters in 39 innings.

I am going to go a little bit looney here, that is right I am going to take the u7.5 runs in tonight's game. Taking it at -104 at LeoVegas

This might sound a bit crazy, taking an under against the Yankees who have the best bats in the MLB against a pitcher who has a WHIP of 1.51. But sometimes you need to feel uncomfortable when you're betting, and I love the lack of comfort here.

Hear me out, Jordan Lyles is a much much much different pitcher in Baltimore at Camden Park. 

Here is a comparison to Jordan Lyles on the road and at home:

Innings Record Earned Runs WHIP
Road 20.1 1-3 15 1.62
Home 18.2 1-0 4 1.39


So he is clearly a much better pitcher at home then he is on the road. I see that uncomfortable feeling is slowly drifting away.

And Gerrit Cole, do I even need to get into his stats? He is arguably the best pitcher in baseball going against an Orioles team who is 22nd in the MLB in BA with .226 and 20th in OBP with .299. He is also 4-1 in his career vs the Orioles, with 44.2 innings pitched he has only given up 7 earned runs.

Get uncomfortable with me, and take the Yankees and Orioles u7.5 runs. You can find the best price at LeoVegas at -104.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. BOL with whatever you may happen to bet on tonight.

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