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MLB Picks: May 21

By Michael Spiegel

We have a plethora of exciting games to look forward to today. This afternoon, the San Diego Padres visit the San Francisco Giants, both clubs are sitting comfortably above .500 as we approach the quarter mark of the season.

The Padres and Giants are currently sitting 2nd and 3rd in the NL West respectively, trailing the 1st place Dodgers. Joe Musgrove and Carlos Rodón are the starters for this NL West matchup. Both of these pitchers have had respectable starts to their seasons, both having started 7 games. Musgrove is currently repping a 4-0 record with a 2.20 ERA, whereas Rodón is 4-2 with a 3.49 ERA. Rodón was hit around quite a bit in his last outing, only going 3.2 innings before getting the yank, giving up 10 hits and 8 earned runs in the process. This could be a one off, but it is something to take note of. Musgrove, on the other hand, has proven to be a formidable force when he steps on the mound. The Padres have to be pleased with the return that they have seen from him, after acquiring him via trade last year from the Pirates.

Padres third baseman Manny Machado has been absolutely on fire so far this season. After his 3 hit bid in last night's contest, he now has a .363 BA and an OPS over 1. He has been one of the best hitters in baseball this year and is one of the reasons for San Diego’s success so far this year. He currently leads the National League in hits and has more than stepped up to the plate with the absence of Fernando Tatis Jr. Machado has also had his fair share of success against Rodón, sporting a .944 OPS in 10 plate appearances. While not a huge sample size, he has fared well against the hard throwing lefty.

The Padres, who blew a two-run lead with two outs in the bottom of the ninth last night, managed to secure a win in extra innings thanks to a lead-off double from Machado. After taking the series opener last night they will be looking to secure a series win today.

The fact that the Giants are favoured to win this game is a surprise to me. Anytime the Padres are underdogs, especially with Musgrove on the mound, you should be hammering that money line.

Pick: Padres ML +132 (BetRegal)

Other notable bets:

Reds/Blue Jays under 8 -102 (BetRegal): Hunter Greene goes up against Alek Manoah in this matchup of two talented young arms. Greene pitched a no hitter for 7.1 innings in his last outing, and he’ll look to carry on that success as he faces the struggling Blue Jay bats. Manoah has been one of the best pitchers in baseball, carrying a sub 2 ERA in 7 outings this season, and has been outright dominating opposing hitters throughout his young career.

Cardinals @ Pirates: Cardinals ML -129 (BetRegal): Matthew Liberatore (39th ranked prospect in baseball) makes his MLB debut. He’ll take the mound for the Cardinals as they face the struggling Pirates. Good value odds for the Cardinals here, as the Cardinals should be favoured closer to -150.  

White Sox @ Yankees: Yankees -1.5 -110 (Proline+): The Yankees have ERA leader Nestor Cortes on the hill for them today, and if that’s not enough, the Bronx Bombers are going up against the struggling arm of Dallas Keuchel. 1.35 ERA vs 5.54 ERA, taking the Yankees spread is an easy way to double your bet.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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