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MLB Picks: May 28

By Michael Spiegel

Another Saturday full of exciting baseball matchups. Tonight, the Los Angeles Dodgers are in Arizona visiting the Diamondbacks. 

Los Angeles has come into town and taken the first two games of this four-game set. After a blowout 14-1 victory in game 1, the Dodgers won last nights contest 6-4. 

Tony Gonsolin takes the mound for the Dodgers tonight, putting up some lights out numbers so far this season. Currently sitting at 4-0 with a sub 2 ERA and a WHIP under 1, Gonsolin has been dealing throughout his 8 starts. Gonsolin pitched against the Diamondbacks just over a week ago and locked up a win for the Dodgers, going 6 innings and giving up 2 runs on just 3 hits. Gonsolin has won 3 of his last 4 starts against Arizona, and his win just over a week ago is a very encouraging sign.

The 33-year-old, Merrill Kelly, gets the start for Arizona tonight. He hasn’t put up terrible numbers so far this season, 3.49 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, however he was yanked after just 2 innings the last time he faced the Dodgers, giving up 8 earned runs in the process. Kelly has pitched against the Dodgers 9 times in his career, and he has lost 6 of those games, including his last 4. Throughout those 9 games, he has a 5.89 ERA. Clearly the Dodgers have his number. 

The Diamondbacks have faired worse off at home this year, currently posting the worst batting average in home games in the National League, at .208. On the other hand, the Dodgers have the second-best OPS in all of baseball when they are the visiting team, .771. The Dodgers have the best OPS in baseball right now and have won 11 of their last 13 ball games.  The Diamondbacks are 20th in OPS, and they have dropped 8 of their last 13. 

The Dodgers swept the Diamondbacks in a four-game set just over a week ago back in LA. They will be looking to do the same thing this weekend, and that starts with a win tonight. The Dodgers are the clear favourites to win tonight, however with the money line better than -200, that is a complete steal. With the Dodgers bats raking, their historically good numbers against Merrell, and the unfortunate numbers for the Diamondbacks at home this season, the money line is of great value.

Pick: Dodgers ML -175 (theScore Bet)

Other notable bets:

Yankees/Rays under 7 -104 (LeoVegas): Corey Kluber faces his former team in this AL East battle. Going up against Gerrit Cole, who has been pitching quite well as of late, runs should be limited in this one. 

Royals @ Twins: Royals ML +140 (Sports Interaction): Great value pick for the Royals as Brady Singer is pitching for them today. He has been unbelievable this season and didn’t give up a run in his last start against the Twins. He goes up against Chris Archer who has been struggling quite a bit as of late.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here.

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