At betstamp, transparency is very important to us. With each MLB free pick article on this website, the author will have a link to their betstamp profile page, so that you can see their full betting history before you decide whether or not you want to tail their plays.

MLB Picks: September 04

By Mitchell Blair

It’s the last Sunday of MLB action before a lot of our Sundays are taken up with what is happening in the NFL. As we hit September, one of the biggest questions baseball fans have is will the epic collapse of the New York Yankees continue.  What has happened to a team that going into the all-star break looked to almost be a sure thing to get to at least the American League Championship Series.  

Look at the standings in the AL East and you’ll find that Yankees lead that was 13 games on July 16 has been whittled down to at least four as New York continues to stumble their way through the second half of the season. They are 19-31 in their last 50 games which is their worst 50-game stretch within a season since August/September 1991.  

That lead could go down to three today as they finish a series in Tampa against the hard-charging Rays.   Over the last month, Tampa has been averaging just over five runs a game and when you look at this season, they are 46-8 when scoring five or more.  The way the Yankees have been producing runs, Tampa probably only needs two or three runs to get a W, but how can you not like them to add to New York’s misery today. I’m putting my money down on Tampa on the moneyline while watching this implosion of the Yankees continue.  

PICK:  Tampa ML at +108 on Coolbet

While many are asking if the Yankees can hang on to win the AL East, others are asking if the Baltimore Orioles are going to find themselves in a playoff spot after Game 162.  I wouldn’t bet against them.  They finish off a three-game series against the Oakland Athletics at home this afternoon and you have to like the home team. Baltimore’s starters have been stingy over the past few weeks. The rotation has had an ERA of under two  in 11 games since August 21, which is the second-best starter ERA in the AL and third-best in MLB over that span.  They are 39-24 at home and with last night’s win, they have won their last six series of at least two games. Go with the Orioles here and take them with the runline.  

PICK: Baltimore (-1.5) at +120 on Bet99

One last game is one between a pair of very good teams as the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians finish a series in Ohio with the home side looking to avoid a three-game sweep. If someone said to me at this moment, what teams would you bet on being in the ALCS right now, I would look at the odds on this matchup and put some money down because if Seattle can find a way to beat Houston, I would seriously like this as I really like what the Guardians are doing despite their record in a mediocre AL Central.  

A guy having a season that is flying under the radar is Canadian Cal Quantrill.  He goes after his 12th win of the season and is coming off an August where he was 4.0 with an ERA of 2.13. He is 12-0 at home since coming to Cleveland 

Quantrill may not be in Cy-Young conversation,  but that shouldn't take away what he does for the Guardians. He's been their most consistent pitcher all season which brings a level of calmness every day he pitches. 

I like him to take down the Mariners in a low-scoring affair  


PICK: Cleveland ML at  +114  on Coolbet 

Enjoy the games!  

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

To learn more about wagering on the MLB...

Tips and strategies to become a more successful MLB bettor.

The easiest way to go bust is to mismanage your bankroll. Avoid the pitfalls by learning about bankroll management strategies.

Prop bets are now one of the most common bet types amongst MLB bettors. Find out why they are so popular and how to bet them.

Have you ever wondered why lines move? It's not as simple as you would think. Knowledge of how betting markets work can help you become a more successful bettor.

It's the single easiest way to gain an edge in the MLB. Find out more about how to become price sensitive and shop for the best lines.

You've heard it before: Fade the public. The thing is... this is actually not a winning long-term strategy. Find out why.