MMA FREE PICKS
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UFC Vegas 55: Holm vs. Vieira
This Saturday’s UFC Vegas 55 event is headlined by two women looking to make their case for a shot at the bantamweight title. Now 40-year-old Holly Holm will challenge Ketlen Vieira who is 30. Slotted into the middle of the main card we have two middleweights vying to make a statement, Chidi Njokuani vs. Dusko Todorovic
It’s crazy to think it took Chidi Njokuani (21-7) 27 professional fights before getting the call to compete in the UFC. He earned his calling after appearing on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2021 with a TKO victory over Mario Filipe de Sousa. In his UFC debut, he knocked out Marc-Andre Barriault, who is known to have a granite chin in just 16 seconds. You can't make a better first impression than that. Njokuani has some impressive wins under his belt against Alan Jouban, Max Griffin, and most notably a first-round TKO of Andre Fialho during his time in Bellator.
Dusko Todorovic (11-2) is coming off a first-round finish of Maki Pitolo back in December. At the time he was desperate for a win, being 1-2 in the promotion. Now at 2-2, Dusko will look to prove that he indeed belongs among the best middleweights in the world. His keys to victory would be to utilize his wrestling which we have not seen him do much, but he has shown some really good ground and pound in his TKO wins.
Chidi brings in an 80” reach advantage over Dusko’s 74”. Chidi is a natural kickboxer and does well at managing range and distance. Add that to his speed and power advantage it is almost hard to overlook Njokuani winning. Todorovic has a bad habit of keeping his chin high when engaging and that wont play well against someone like Chidi. However the longer this fight goes, I have to give the edge to Todorovic because we have seen Chidi slow down in later rounds and seen that his activity level spirals. Njokuani to win is close to -230, so I will take the better odds on the fight not going to distance, with both fighters having very high finishing rates.
Pick: Fight Does Not Go The Distance -200 (Betway)
Other fights worth betting on:
Holly Holm Wins by Decision -116 (BetRegal) - Holm may be up there in fighting age but she still has the energy levels of a teenager. Mix her cardio in with her diverse striking as opposed to Vieira, she should be able to pull away on the scorecards.
We had a good UFC Vegas 54, we picked Davey Grant to get the finish, and how about the +400 call on the Petroski win!
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