NBA FREE PICKS
At betstamp, transparency is very important to us. With each NBA free pick article on this website, the author will have a link to their betstamp profile page, so that you can see their full betting history before you decide whether or not you want to tail their plays.
2022-23 NBA Title Futures Odds Update
We are now at the point in free agency and the offseason where a large portion of the dominoes have fallen. The transactions and big-name players moving to new teams has come to a halt, partially due to the fact that a lot of those big-name players have already made their decisions. Although, I think a big factor that is currently preventing teams from wheeling and dealing as expected is the speculation surrounding Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, Donovan Mitchell and their respective trade rumors. When/if these players get dealt, it will certainly have an impact on the complexion of the league. In the meantime, let’s take a look at how the NBA finals market has responded to some teams’ offseason moves.
In lieu of the trade rumors/speculations circulating around the Brooklyn Nets and their superstar duo consisting of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving, it is easy to see why their odds have shifted from +700 when the market officially opened to +1500 currently via the DraftKings Sportsbook. Brooklyn has allegedly set the price for Durant so high to the point that teams do not feel comfortable trading for him and gutting their whole roster to have Durant show up with no one to compete with. On the other hand, not many teams seem to have interest in the uber-talented Irving given his questionable decision-making off the court, lack of availability and lack of commitment to the game and a respective franchise.
These reasons set Brooklyn up to at the very least start the season with their superstar duo on the roster. In addition, they are expecting to welcome former #1 overall pick Ben Simmons into their lineup this season after trading James Harden for him the year prior only for him to not suit up the entire season. Personally, I think there could be some value in betting Brooklyn to win at +1500 in the event that Durant and Irving start the season in Brooklyn and decide to commit to the team once the season begins for a “last dance” of sorts.
One of the teams with the biggest odds shifts since the market opened is the Los Angeles Lakers: they opened at +2000 and can now be found for as little as +1100 odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. I find this to be an interesting shift, as the Lakers haven’t made too many moves that will move the needle. Of course, they still have arguably the greatest player of all time in LeBron James and two-way superstar Anthony Davis to compliment him. But, they still have Russell Westbrook on the roster, who was clearly not a good fit with the duo of James and Davis last year and seemed to do more harm than good.
In addition, the Lakers prioritized youth this summer: they signed a rookie head coach in addition to players such as Troy Brown Jr., Thomas Bryant, Lonnie Walker IV, Scotty Pippen Jr., and Shareef O’Neal while also drafting Max Christie. None of the players mentioned are older than 24 years old, and while that may be beneficial in the long-term, it doesn’t necessarily set up a rookie head coach to succeed right away. It is never easy betting against King James, but tread lightly with any Lakers futures.
One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.
To learn more about wagering on the NBA...
Tips and strategies to become a more successful NBA bettor.
The easiest way to go bust is to mismanage your bankroll. Avoid the pitfalls by learning about bankroll management strategies.
Prop bets are now one of the most common bet types amongst NBA bettors. Find out why they are so popular and how to bet them.
Have you ever wondered why lines move? It's not as simple as you would think. Knowledge of how betting markets work can help you become a more successful bettor.
It's the single easiest way to gain an edge in the NBA. Find out more about to become price sensitive and shop for the best lines.
You've heard it before: Fade the public. The thing is... this is actually not a winning long-term strategy. Find out why.