NCAAF FREE PICKS
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NCAA Football Futures: July 03
As the dog days of sports summer continue, the only thing that gets me through it is knowing just how happy I will be on that first fall Saturday of College Football. A lot has happened in the College Football World since “The Mailman” Stetson Bennett delivered Georgia a National Championship win over SEC rival Alabama. Lincoln Riley jumped ship to the Pac 12 and brought star Pitt WR Jordan Addison with him. Texas A&M bolstered the top recruiting classes and was accused of buying the class from Jimbo Fisher's former mentor Nick Saban. All this to say, this season is sure to be a heck of a good one, and I can’t wait.
When determining Conference futures I like to look at a few things. First, I like to determine if the team has a lot of new pieces, or is a similar makeup as the year before. This goes for coaches, as well as players. I don’t love the idea of tying up money on a group that is very new and isn’t all that familiar with each other. Given the Conference schedule is so short, you can afford very few slip-ups. That’s why a team like USC who has all the shiny new toys you can think of, would worry me quite a bit. I think personally, the value lies with a team like the Utah Utes in that conference, as they are returning a bunch of players, returning QB Cameron Rising and will be very much a similar squad to the one that dominated last year. That won’t be the pick I’m taking, however as I want to try and scrape the board and find a little more value.
In the betting market, teams like Alabama, Texas, and Clemson get a lot of attention because of how big the brands are. Thus, you can often find value in trying to fade these teams in any way shape or form. In the Atlantic Coast Conference I’ll gladly be fading Dabo Swinney’s Clemson Tigers. Clemson is a -140 favourite to win the Conference, which seems crazy to me given how poor they were this past season. The offense, which was led by DJ Uiagalelei, was abysmal all year. Given the lack of confidence I have in this team, I’m looking to take some shots at 2 teams who have solid Quarterback play, strong returning casts, and a good schedule. The two teams that fit that mould for me are the North Carolina Wolfpack, and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.
Both NC State and Wake Forest took huge leaps last year and put together some great seasons. Both of these teams finished above Clemson last year and have both Devon Leary and Sam Hartman returning as signal-callers for them. To me, this is a no-brainer, where I’ll fade the big name and take a shot at two “dark horses” who I believe are way more live than the market indicates.
One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.
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