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NFL Picks: September 11

By Michael Spiegel

It’s the first Sunday of the NFL season and there are a ton of exciting matchups to look forward to today. I’m personally going to be glued to the couch watching RedZone in anticipation of what the 2022 NFL season has in store.

A matchup/prop that caught my attention today is the Eagles and Lions game. The Lions were one of the worst teams in football last year and haven’t really made any huge changes that would otherwise show that they are ready to take the next step forward. While the Lions will be looking to get off to a better start to their season in comparison to last year, I can’t see Jared Goff and the Lions offense doing much damage to a very well-balanced Eagles defense.

And on the other side of the ball, I’d be pretty shocked to see the Lions defense having any success against the Eagles today. The Eagles led the league last year in rushing yards per game and I’m expecting that to continue this season. While Jalen Hurts has more weapons in the air this year, he still does love running the football and we should see a lot of that against the Lions today.

The Lions defense will be no match for the Eagles today, especially in the trenches. The Eagles unanimously have the best offensive line going into this season. That will not only help Hurts’ run game, opening more holes for him, but it will also help with the development of his passing game. Without a strong offensive line, it’s hard to have much success. Cowboys fans, that offensive line scares me.

The last time these two faced off was last season on Halloween. The Eagles obliterated the Lions in Detroit, 44-6. I’m not sure why the spread is only -4.5 for the Eagles today, but unless the oddsmakers know something that I don’t, I would be hammering that bet today. I’m expecting a blowout for the Eagles.

Pick: Eagles @ Lions: Eagles -4.5 (-110) at Betway

Other notable bets:

Colts @ Texans: Colts -7 (-109) at NorthStar: The Colts played the Texans twice last year and both games were decisive blowout victories for the Colts. I feel like Indianapolis at -7 is a no-brainer today as I’m expecting Jonathan Taylor to demolish the Texans defense.

Browns @ Panthers: Panthers -1.5 (+100) at Proline+: The Browns visit Carolina and absolutely nobody will be rooting for them today. I’m expecting Baker Mayfield to bring his A-game today against his former team and put up quite the performance.

Ravens @ Jets: Ravens -6.5 (-105) at Betway: The Ravens are a much better team than the Jets and seeing the spread at 6.5 caught my eye. The Jets will be without Zach Wilson for the beginning of the season, and former Ravens super bowl winner Joe Flacco will be manning the Jets’ offense. While Flacco used to be a very capable quarterback, he’s now 37 and his prime years are behind him. I think Lamar Jackson and the Ravens will easily cover the spread against the Jets today.

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

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