NHL FREE PICKS

At betstamp, transparency is very important to us. With each NHL free pick article on this website, the author will have a link to their betstamp profile page, so that you can see their full betting history before you decide whether or not you want to tail their plays.

NHL Picks: June 11

By Michael Harty

The Tampa Bay Lightning return to the bay with a chance to close out the series on home ice in front of what should be a raucous crowd at Amalie Arena. After rallying in game 5 to score in the dying seconds, Ondrej Palat delivered yet again in the final minutes of regulation breaking a 1-1 tie. The New King on Broadway; Igor Shesterkin could only do so much as he turned away 26 of 28 shots. It’s frightening to think the Lightning are doing all this without superstar centermen Brayden Point. 

This road performance was vintage Tampa Bay. Whenever this team seems to have their back against the wall, they answer and boy did they ever. Showing no signs of panic, the Lightning set the tempo from the start of puck drop in front of a rowdy crowd. The Rangers who have relied on special teams and goaltending to get to this point may have finally met their match. Andrei Vasilevsky who seemingly never shows any signs of nerves was once again near perfect in a must-win game. Only surrendering 1 powerplay to the opposing team, the Rangers virtually had no scoring chances. Losing the XGoal battle 3.2 to 1.77, the game went pretty much as the analytics would predict. The Rangers will need to come up with a solution on the road or they’ll be sent packing.

The Lightning were once again led by the top guns in Palat, Kucherov and Stamkos. Kucherov, who has been a popular player for me these playoffs without Point, was once again all over the ice registering a game-high 8 shot attempts. Like he has his entire career, he is truly delivering when it matters most. As someone who is holding Tampa Bay series bets at multiple different prices, I don’t see any value in laying -170 for the game although I do believe the series ends tonight. For my pick, I will be once again going back to the Kucherov well at + money. Given the home-ice split, and the way he’s performing I believe this line is way off and have been attacking it every game this series, clearing it in 3 out of 5. The last time I wrote about Kucherov 4 days ago it cashed, so I will be hoping for a similar result here. The old saying " If it ain't broke, don't fix it" is being put to the test here.

RECOMMENDED WAGER: NIKITA KUCHEROV Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+130) at Caesars 

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

To learn more about wagering on the NHL...

Tips and strategies to become a more successful NHL bettor.

The easiest way to go bust is to mismanage your bankroll. Avoid the pitfalls by learning about bankroll management strategies.

Prop bets are now one of the most common bet types amongst NHL bettors. Find out why they are so popular and how to bet them.

Have you ever wondered why lines move? It's not as simple as you would think. Knowledge of how betting markets work can help you become a more successful bettor.

It's the single easiest way to gain an edge in the NHL. Find out more about how to become price sensitive and shop for the best lines.

You've heard it before: Fade the public. The thing is... this is actually not a winning long-term strategy. Find out why.