NHL FREE PICKS

At betstamp, transparency is very important to us. With each NHL free pick article on this website, the author will have a link to their betstamp profile page, so that you can see their full betting history before you decide whether or not you want to tail their plays.

NHL Picks: May 11

By Josh Goodwin

The Panthers are betting favorites tonight for a reason, but in my opinion, the moneyline odds are currently underrepresenting the chances of a Capitals win. I really like Washington moneyline at +194 on Sports Interaction, and I could definitely see this bet gaining some positive closing line value. 

Thus far, neither team has managed to win consecutive games in that series, and Washington just lost a 3-2 overtime effort. With their veteran presence and championship experience, I trust the Capitals to bring forward a formidable response tonight on the road. Also, as talented as the Panthers might be, they have not won a series since the 1996 playoffs, so that group still has a lot to prove. Florida’s greatest asset is their ability to score, which they did at a league-leading rate of 4.11 goals per game this regular season. Yet over the past two games, Washington has been perfect on the penalty kill and limited Florida’s lineup to a total of only 3 goals.

Don’t get me wrong, it will be difficult to continue limiting such a talented group, but I can at least still see Washington’s defense and goaltending trending in the right direction. Not to mention, Tom Wilson is still listed as a game-time decision for tonight’s matchup due to a lower-body injury he sustained in Washington’s game one victory. Say what you’d like about Wilson, but he scored the opening goal of this series and has proven himself as a championship-level contributor for the Capitals. His unique combination of size and skill would certainly help Washington match-up better with Florida, who has a massive and physical lineup of their own.

Although I’d be reluctant to bet the under, I still envision tonight being a very tight checking game where both sides have a close to equal chance of winning. Therefore, I consider +194 to be a valuable price for a Washington Capitals moneyline bet. Plus, I did select the Capitals to win this series when filling-out my playoff bracket, so this would be a pivotal victory for that prediction as well.

My Pick: Washington Capitals Moneyline (+194 @ Sports Interaction)

One of betstamp’s largest brand values is transparency. Whether you are looking to tail or fade my picks, or potentially just like reading the breakdowns, you can find my full documented betting record here. Best of luck with your bets today.

To learn more about wagering on the NHL...

Tips and strategies to become a more successful NHL bettor.

The easiest way to go bust is to mismanage your bankroll. Avoid the pitfalls by learning about bankroll management strategies.

Prop bets are now one of the most common bet types amongst MLB bettors. Find out why they are so popular and how to bet them.

Have you ever wondered why lines move? It's not as simple as you would think. Knowledge of how betting markets work can help you become a more successful bettor.

It's the single easiest way to gain an edge in the MLB. Find out more about to become price sensitive and shop for the best lines.

You've heard it before: Fade the public. The thing is... this is actually not a winning long-term strategy. Find out why.