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Soccer Picks: May 16

By Jacob Gramegna

Hoping to start the week off on the right foot with some EPL action. There are many great narratives to follow such as the title race and the battle to avoid relegation; but one of the most exciting ones is the race for a top 4 finish which would guarantee Champions League qualification. Our one game tonight in England is Newcastle who host Arsenal.

Tottenham’s win yesterday means they occupy 4th place with one game remaining, as Arsenal are two points back with two games remaining. A win today vs Newcastle would see them retake that 4th place spot. Arsenal suffered a bad loss last week against Tottenham, largely in part to an early red from Rob Holding, but have been in great form otherwise. Newcastle are not playing for much other than league position at this point, but are still a threat especially with the probable return of Callum Wilson to the starting 11. 

Knowing what’s at stake in this match it is absolutely a must win game for Arsenal, their implied odds are sitting at about 56% but I see them more around 59-60%. Given their form and the recent goal surge from striker Eddie Nketiah, the Gunners are gunning for all three points and will be doing whatever it takes to get themselves over the line. Given the odds that Arsenal are set at, I really like them to win this one so today’s play is: Arsenal to win -129 at Caesar’s Sportsbook.

Other bets to look at:

Liverpool face Southampton tomorrow knowing they need a win to keep the pressure on Manchester City who stumbled to a draw with West Ham yesterday. Southampton have been unable to keep the ball out of their net in recent fixtures having allowed two or more goals in their last 4 games all to opposition in 10th place or lower. Liverpool may not have their full force of players but depth has been a strong point for them this season so we’re going to hit: Liverpool (-1.25) -118 at BetVictor.

Betstamp is all about transparency, so whether you want to tail or fade my picks or even just check in on them to see how I’m doing you can find my full documented betting record here.

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