TENNIS FREE PICKS
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August 31, 2022: US.Open Betting Preview
The first two days of the 2022 US Open have been filled with plenty of exciting tennis and surprises. On the first day, six top-31 ranked men were eliminated: Stefanos Tsitsipas (#4), Taylor Fritz (#10), Roberto Bautista-Agut (#16), Francisco Cerundolo (#24), Maxime Cressy (30) and Nikoloz Basilashvili (#31).
On the women’s side, we saw seven top-30 ranked players eliminated: Simona Halep (#7), Daria Kasatkina (#10), Emma Raducanu (#11), Amanda Anisimova (#24), Elena Rybakina (#25), Martina Trevisan (#27), and Jil Belen Teichmann (#30). If the first couple of days are any indication, we are in for quite an interesting and eventful tournament.
There is one under-the-radar match that I feel should be a riveting and entertaining clash between two closely-contested opponents: Jordan Thompson (AUS) versus Daniel Elahi Galan Riveros (COL). Both players are coming off of impressive upset wins and heading into this match with momentum, which should create for a fun environment.
Daniel Elahi Galan earned what was most likely the biggest win of his tennis career (to date) in his match against the world #4 ranked Stefanos Tsitsipas. Tsitsipas was dealing with some injury/conditioning issues throughout the match and needed to receive medical attention more than once, but we cannot discredit Galan for the performance he put on yesterday. He won 12 of the first 13 games played between the two to take a commanding 2-0 set lead. Galan did a great job of stopping Tsitsipas’ momentum in the fourth set and overcoming a deficit to avoid a fifth set and pull off the massive upset. Galan had six aces to only one double fault while saving seven break points: that is the type of performance needed to take down the #4 ranked player in the world.
On the other hand, Jordan Thompson overcame a 2-0 set deficit to pull off a miraculous comeback victory against the talented Italian, Lorenzo Sonego. Like Galan, Thompson did a great job of controlling his serve: he had nine aces, with only one double fault whole winning over 75% of his first-serve points. Thompson hasn’t played his best tennis in 2022, but he now has an opportunity to advance to the third round of the US Open. This is not familiar territory for the Australian, as he reached the fourth round of the 2020 US Open.
Ultimately, with not much separating the two players from a talent standpoint, I expect experience to play a factor in this. While Thompson has struggled in Grand Slams (career 14-26 win-loss record), he has been in this position much more than Galan (6-6 career W/L record). Not to mention, Thompson is also the better player of the two on hard courts. I expect Thompson to use his experience and surface advantages to help him pull out what should be a highly-contested match between these two.
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